Dr Mike Joy, widely known as NZ’s foremost freshwater ecology expert and advocate, wears the title of ‘Dr Doom’ defiantly.
He’s earned it, as evidenced by the presentation he made last week on the dire planetary state of affairs to a gathering hosted by local Forest & Bird, setting aside his normal focus on freshwater.
My impression was that even this audience of environmental ‘true believers’ was a bit shellshocked by the ‘big picture’ message he delivered.
Supported by a blizzard of charts and stats, Joy’s message was simple but profound – we are over-reaching biophysical limits of the planet in multiple interrelated ways, with over-use of energy as the prime driver of destruction.
And central to his proposition is that all current energy use contributes to the ruin – whether the source is fossil fuel or, as he sees it, so-called ‘green’ energy (solar, wind, biomass, etc).
Joy gave numerous examples (copper seems to be his favourite) of the true buried energy costs of producing everything from wind farm turbines to solar panels and storage batteries.
In short, to use his analogy, we’re on the Titanic headed for the iceberg, however we fuel the ship.
The only answer is to radically de-energise our lifestyles – be that as individuals, households, organisations, businesses, nations. We no longer have the luxury of seeking to protect our current consumption by pursuing ‘cleaner’ energy … that’s “believing in the tooth fairy” as Joy puts it.
It’s energy demand (and consumption more broadly) that must be reversed, not supply increased. The challenge is behaviour change, not technological fixes.
The most hopeful example of how this might happen came from the audience, with someone noting the societal shift around smoking that has taken decades.
Raising the question, what society-wide shock would be grave enough to trigger a similar rejection of energy-intense lifestyles?
A pretty grim presentation. You can get a first-hand feel for Joy’s message in this article he’s just published courtesy of Newsroom, titled Our plan for the planet can’t be the lesser of two evils.
And for more from Dr Joy, this is his new book, The Fight for Freshwater: A Memoir.


Joy is correct in his assessment of our energy overuse, globally. Unfortunately governments fail to see the obvious, consistently driving for short-term financial gain, ahead of all else and our government is typical of this. General international discord prevents us from the action that is essential but Nature will solve the problem for us : growing weather crisis more wars over dwindling resources, resulting starvation and epidemics. In NZ, our future does not have to blindly follow suit, we need government that puts human welfare before profit for a few. Is it possible?
As one who attended Mike Joy’s presentation, I was grateful that here is a reputable and caring scientist who is actually talking about dealing with “the elephant in the room” rather than just alluding to it or worse still ignoring it. We, in NZ are one of the “developed” nations expending far more than our fair share of energy and resources (despite our relatively small size which is no excuse for inaction). Unless we actually reduce our excessive over-consumption we remain part of the problem of humans cannabalising the planet. Changing our lifestyles is not a popular message so making choices like farming regeneratively, eating more of a plant-based diet, flying less, shunning cruises and generally committing to de-growth and reducing our excessive energy consumption in particular at every level of our society, will continue to be ignored by many. But we do so at our peril. Let’s not shoot the messenger or dismiss him as ‘Dr Doom’ but focus on the honest challenges of his message. I prefer to see him as who he is ‘Mike Joy’ and am grateful for his continued optimism, bravery and persistence.
Humanity is happily attached to our devices and so on and will continue to walk blindly into a lamppost while checking our messages – and that won’t change – until the day the lamppost is gone and is replaced by a cliff – on the way down humanity will complain that nobody told us this would happen until just before hitting the rocks below we think “Oh Yeah – who was that guy – why didn’t we listen?”
Thanks Tom.
Mike is even more sobering than ever.
If only we could see the irony in spending a further $12 Billion to prepare for war, as proposed by Judith Collins, in the name of so called ‘security’.
Real security is about enabling a future for all .
Real security is investing in sustainability, housing, health, education and relationships.
Check this out.
Please sign and share, thanks.
https://our.actionstation.org.nz/petitions/freeze-military-spending-rethink-foreign-policy?source=web-share-api-button&utm_source=web_share_api&share=1e4bff14-325e-4265-908f-e5c424517ecb
We need to stop this incessant drive for more and more economic growth, which is a huge driver of increased energy demand. We need to work towards, at best, a steady-state economy based on sustainable principles, to start with. A reduction in energy use, de-growth where possible, focussing on what we need, not what we want. This will require a huge change in mindset, and it will take a long time. In the meantime the lemmings continue racing each other to the cliff edge…